UPDATED: 04-07-26 18:12 PDT

stick Mercer
  
Mercer                
W-L: ( 5- 6) PR = 85.4110

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H Virginia Tech ACC ( 8- 7, 86.9) 10-12 212 A Vanderbilt AAC ( 7- 6, 85.5) 11-14 221 A South Florida AAC ( 8- 3, 88.1) 10-15 225 A Kennesaw State Atlantic Sun ( 7- 6, 74.9) 18- 5 304 A Stetson Atlantic Sun ( 2-10, 75.8) 22- 7 307 A Florida Big 12 ( 9- 2, 94.0) 9-23 314 H Arizona State Big 12 ( 6- 7, 87.0) 20-16 317 H Clemson ACC (11- 4, 94.2) 8-16 323 H Dartmouth Ivy League ( 6- 5, 90.1) 8-17 328 A High Point Big South ( 3- 8, 81.3) 10- 6 401 H Presbyterian Big South ( 3- 9, 69.9) 19- 2 408 A Furman Big South ( 7- 6, 76.3) 411 H Winthrop Big South ( 6- 6, 74.8) 415 A Gardner Webb Big South ( 1-10, 70.7) 418 A Radford Big South ( 2-10, 71.1) 422 A Wofford Big South ( 5- 8, 76.9) 425 H Longwood Big South ( 2- 8, 71.5)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   206 H Virginia Tech          10-12      -2     0          -1.74
   212 A Vanderbilt             11-14      -3    -1          -1.74
   221 A South Florida          10-15      -5    -4          -1.10
   225 A Kennesaw State         18- 5      13     9    +      3.70
   304 A Stetson                22- 7      15     8    ++     5.60
   307 A Florida                 9-23     -14   -10    --    -4.21
   314 H Arizona State          20-16       4     0    ++     4.34
   317 H Clemson                 8-16      -8    -8          -0.42
   323 H Dartmouth               8-17      -9    -3    --    -5.56
   328 A High Point             10- 6       4     3           1.14
   401 H Presbyterian           19- 2      17    17           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 A Florida                 9-23     -14   -10    --    -4.21
   323 H Dartmouth               8-17      -9    -3    --    -5.56

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   304 A Stetson                22- 7      15     8    ++     5.60
   314 H Arizona State          20-16       4     0    ++     4.34
   225 A Kennesaw State         18- 5      13     9    +      3.70

Mercer Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Akron Mercer insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Mercer
Albany Mercer   Mercer
American Mercer   Mercer
Arizona State Mercer Mercer  
Army Army   Army
Austin Peay Mercer insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Mercer
Binghamton Mercer   Mercer
Boston College Boston College insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Boston College
Boston University Mercer tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Mercer
Brown Brown tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Brown
Bryant Mercer tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Mercer
Bucknell Mercer insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Mercer
Butler Mercer   Mercer
California Mercer tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Mercer
Campbell Mercer tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Mercer
Canisius Mercer   Mercer
Central Connecticut Mercer   Mercer
Central Michigan Mercer   Mercer
Cincinnati Mercer insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Mercer
Clemson Clemson Clemson  
Coastal Carolina Mercer tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Mercer
Colgate Mercer   Mercer
Colorado Colorado tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Colorado
Columbia Mercer   Mercer
Connecticut Mercer   Mercer
Cornell Cornell insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cornell
Dartmouth Dartmouth Dartmouth  
Davidson Mercer tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Mercer
Delaware Delaware tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Delaware
Delaware State Mercer Mercer   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Denver Denver insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 4- 0) Denver
Detroit Mercy Mercer   Mercer
Drexel Mercer   Mercer
Duke Duke insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Duke
Duquesne Mercer   Mercer
East Carolina Mercer tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Mercer
Eastern Michigan Mercer tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Mercer
Elon Mercer tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Mercer
Fairfield Mercer   Mercer
Fairleigh Dickinson Mercer tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Mercer
Florida Florida Florida  
Florida State Mercer tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Mercer
Furman Mercer tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Mercer
Gardner Webb Mercer insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Mercer
George Mason Mercer   Mercer
George Washington Mercer   Mercer
Georgetown Georgetown   Georgetown
Harvard Harvard tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Harvard
High Point Mercer Mercer  
Hofstra Mercer   Mercer
Holy Cross Mercer tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Mercer
Howard (DC) Mercer   Mercer
Iona Mercer   Mercer
Jacksonville Jacksonville tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Jacksonville
James Madison James Madison insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) James Madison
Johns Hopkins Johns Hopkins   Johns Hopkins
Kennesaw State Mercer Mercer  
Kent State Mercer   Mercer
La Salle Mercer insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Mercer
Lafayette Mercer   Mercer
Le Moyne Mercer tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Mercer
Lehigh Mercer   Mercer
Liberty Mercer insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Mercer
Lindenwood Mercer insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Mercer
LIU Mercer   Mercer
Longwood Mercer insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Mercer
Louisville Louisville insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Louisville
Loyola (MD) Loyola (MD) tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Loyola (MD)
Manhattan Mercer insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Mercer
Marist Mercer   Mercer
Marquette Marquette insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Marquette
Maryland Maryland   Maryland
Massachusetts Massachusetts insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Massachusetts
Massachusetts-Lowell Mercer   Mercer
Mercyhurst Mercer   Mercer
Merrimack Mercer tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Mercer
Michigan Michigan Michigan   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Monmouth (NJ) Mercer   Mercer
Mount St Marys Mercer   Mercer
Navy Navy Navy   4- 0 vs 2- 2
New Hampshire Mercer tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Mercer
New Haven Mercer insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Mercer
Niagara Mercer insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Mercer
North Carolina North Carolina insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) North Carolina
Northwestern Northwestern   Northwestern
Notre Dame Notre Dame insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Notre Dame
Ohio State Ohio State insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Ohio State
Old Dominion Mercer tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Mercer
Oregon Mercer tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Mercer
Penn Penn insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Penn
Penn State Penn State   Penn State
Pittsburgh Pittsburgh insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Pittsburgh
Presbyterian Mercer Mercer  
Princeton Princeton   Princeton
Queens Mercer insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) Mercer
Quinnipiac Mercer   Mercer
Radford Mercer tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Mercer
Rhode Island Mercer   Mercer
Richmond Richmond insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Richmond
Rider Mercer   Mercer
Robert Morris Mercer   Mercer
Rutgers Rutgers   Rutgers
Sacred Heart Mercer   Mercer
San Diego State Mercer   Mercer
Siena Mercer   Mercer
South Florida South Florida South Florida  
Southern California Southern California tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Southern California
St Bonaventure Mercer   Mercer
St Josephs (PA) Mercer   Mercer
Stanford Stanford Stanford   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Stetson Mercer Mercer  
Stonehill Mercer   Mercer
Stony Brook Stony Brook   Stony Brook
Syracuse Syracuse insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Syracuse
Temple Mercer tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Mercer
Towson Mercer   Mercer
UC Davis Mercer   Mercer
UMBC Mercer   Mercer
UNC-Charlotte Mercer tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Mercer
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt Vanderbilt  
VCU Mercer tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Mercer
Vermont Mercer   Mercer
Villanova Villanova   Villanova
Virginia Virginia tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Virginia
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Virginia Tech  
Wagner Mercer tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Mercer
William & Mary Mercer   Mercer
Winthrop Mercer insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Mercer
Wofford Mercer Mercer   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Xavier Mercer tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Mercer
Yale Yale insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Yale
Youngstown State Mercer   Mercer

PowerWise = 89


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 12.45

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Virginia Tech   ( 8- 7, 86.9)    10-12      -13.01      27.70      -1.22         1.13            -8.05
   0 A Vanderbilt      ( 7- 6, 85.5)    11-14      -14.45      26.26       1.22         1.13            -7.49
   0 A South Florida   ( 8- 3, 88.1)    10-15      -11.81      28.90       1.22         1.13            -6.00
   0 A Kennesaw State  ( 7- 6, 74.9)    18- 5      -25.01      15.70       1.22         1.13            38.29
   0 A Stetson         ( 2-10, 75.8)    22- 7      -24.11      16.60       1.22         1.13            40.33
   0 A Florida         ( 9- 2, 94.0)     9-23       -5.92      34.79       1.22         1.13            -2.66
   0 H Arizona State   ( 6- 7, 87.0)    20-16      -12.93      27.78      -1.22         1.13            60.13
   0 H Clemson         (11- 4, 94.2)     8-16       -5.69      35.02      -1.22         1.13            -3.91
   0 H Dartmouth       ( 6- 5, 90.1)     8-17       -9.84      30.87      -1.22         1.13            -6.26
   0 A High Point      ( 3- 8, 81.3)    10- 6      -18.57      22.14       1.22         1.13            52.88
   0 H Presbyterian    ( 3- 9, 69.9)    19- 2      -30.03      10.68      -1.22         1.13            21.41
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       178.69

winning pts = 213.0463 losing points = -34.3612

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------